Confused about climate change/warming/etc.?  You should be. Especially when the average weatherman, if he was a ballplayer, would not be in the big leagues (oh, I forgot, the “experts” can tell us what is going to happen in fifty-years, but not next week).  OK, maybe a cheap shot, but still, we hear that we only have twelve years until the end of the world while others tell us we have twenty-five years.  What is the real answer?  In reality, no one knows and anytime we are shown computer models, how many of us remember the first rule of using computers: garbage in, garbage out.

The link below will take you to a video which explains some of the problems involved with computer modeling, especially modeling based on a worldwide events over which we have no means of control.  Even assuming the most objective of modeling, the slightest difference of input can make major differences in outcomes.

Watch the video and you will be better able to judge the various projections and put them in a better context.

https://www.policyed.org/policy-stories/challenges-and-realities-climate-modeling/video?_hsmi=271572052&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-_wpSAspWFv9mxFHYDWE_PhRoY2xr4q6t11I6NIKT32UDyuXYoyXCP851r3nzV8MPUck0Cc0NsakeNKmsprX8N6NKHhcA

Share: